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Present a BETTER explanation for our existence than God

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arg-fallbackName="Aught3"/>
MOD NOTE:

I'm asking Japhia888 to cite his quotes properly in future posts. This is because I thought you were quoting an actual expert in physics and it turned out to be William Lane Craig. You don't have to provide links just make it clear who you are quoting.

/MOD NOTE

On Isham, it would be nice to have a proper citation for this quote to get both the date when he said this and the surrounding context. As far as I can tell it was from a lecture in the early 90s so is twenty years out of date and the context is unavailable. It is true that Isham is critical of Tyron's early fluctuation model but there have been many improvements and changes since that time. Since we don't have the context I can only assume he's criticising these outdated models and the new models are more consistent with current evidence (as Krauss outlined).

On the RNA world, again you are out of date.

"we describe here an RNA molecule that catalyzes the type of polymerization needed for RNA replication. The ribozyme uses nucleoside triphosphates and the coding information of an RNA template to extend an RNA primer by the successive addition of up to 14 nucleotides"
(Johnston et al. 2001, RNA-Catalyzed RNA Polymerization: Accurate and General RNA-Templated Primer Extension)

"An RNA enzyme that catalyzes the RNA-templated joining of RNA was converted to a format whereby two enzymes catalyze each other's synthesis from a total of four oligonucleotide substrates. These cross-replicating RNA enzymes undergo self-sustained exponential amplification in the absence of proteins or other biological materials. Amplification occurs with a doubling time of about 1 hour and can be continued indefinitely."
(Lincoln and Joyce 2009, Self-Sustained Replication of an RNA Enzyme)

So partial replication has been known for about 10 years while full replication has only been shown recently. There's still a lot more to understand in this area but your criticisms are inaccurate.



On micro/macro evolution, you're just quoting from creationist sites. I'm not going to go through every creationist argument on the internet and refute it (that's what TalkOrigins is for :D). But anyway, you already accept descent with modification and natural selection so I don't see much left to convince you of.
Japhia888 said:
Our solar system is embedded at the right position in our galaxy, neither too close, nor too far from the center of the galaxy. Its also the only location, which alouds us to explore the universe, In a other location, and we would not see more than stellar clouds. The earth has the right distance from the sun, and so has the moon from the earth. The size of the moon, and the earth, is the right one. Our planet has the needed minerals, and water. It has the right atmosphere, and a ozon protecting mantle. Jupiter attracts all asteroids , avoiding these to fall to the earth, and make life impossible. The earths magnetic field protects us from the deadly rays of the sun. The velocity of rotation of the earth is just right. And so is the axial tilt of the earth. Beside this, volcano activities, earth quakes, the size of the crust of the earth, and more over 70 different paramenters must be just right.

All these could vary. But they are all just right. You need a BIG leap of faith..........
Okay, I had misunderstood you on this point - I thought you were talking about the constants of physics. On the 'privileged planet' hypothesis I think the answer is different. Yes the parameters can vary but there are also many more opportunities for planets to form. Just around our own sun there are at least eight planets and there are billions and billions of stars in the cosmos. Life could have plausibly existed on Mars at some point, and who knows on how many other planets in far away solar systems life could have, or did, emerge. The galactic lottery may run at billion-to-one odds, but with billions of tickets I've got a good chance at winning.


Evidence for common ancestry, here's one recent paper:

"Universal common ancestry (UCA) is a central pillar of modern evolutionary theory. As first suggested by Darwin, the theory of UCA posits that all extant terrestrial organisms share a common genetic heritage, each being the genealogical descendant of a single species from the distant past. The classic evidence for UCA, although massive, is largely restricted to 'local' common ancestry,for example, of specific phyla rather than the entirety of life,and has yet to fully integrate the recent advances from modern phylogenetics and probability theory. Although UCA is widely assumed, it has rarely been subjected to formal quantitative testing and this has led to critical commentary emphasizing the intrinsic technical difficulties in empirically evaluating a theory of such broad scope. Furthermore, several researchers have proposed that early life was characterized by rampant horizontal gene transfer, leading some to question the monophyly of life. Here I provide the first, to my knowledge, formal, fundamental test of UCA, without assuming that sequence similarity implies genetic kinship. I test UCA by applying model selection theory to molecular phylogenies, focusing on a set of ubiquitously conserved proteins that are proposed to be orthologous. Among a wide range of biological models involving the independent ancestry of major taxonomic groups, the model selection tests are found to overwhelmingly support UCA irrespective of the presence of horizontal gene transfer and symbiotic fusion events. These results provide powerful statistical evidence corroborating the monophyly of all known life."
(Theobald D (2010) A formal test of the theory of universal common ancestry. Nature 465(13):219-222.)
 
arg-fallbackName="Gnug215"/>
Japhia888 said:
what are my goals ? to show why i believe, theism is the most rational world view, and specially christian theism. And to clarify further : It is NOT my goal to " try " to convert people . That is each ones personal and own decision. Further more, debates with atheists do strenght my faith and knowledge, since frequently new questions are made, and new answers are requested . That is a nice learn process, i am going through, and i have a lot of fun doing so.

Hi Japhia,

Perhaps the (this) universe is unlikely, whatever basis one has to call anything "unlikely". But for me it is even more unlikely that before, beyond, above this universe, there would sit an omnipotent, omniscient, omnibenevolent divine being. Such a being is, to me, magnitudes more fantastical, complex, "coincidental" and unlikely than this universe could ever be. So why complicate the equation deliberately?

Theists often seem to think that "But who/what, then, created God?" is a silly question, but why is that? Theists generally seem to feel that the existence of a universe begs the question of who created it, whereas atheists generally seem to feel that it is God's existence that begs the question of who/what created God.
You are openly putting God in front of this entire equation, and you explain the existence of the universe - the question that many people, science, society is busy asking - with God creating it. Alright, but what is the explanation for that? Nothing? Just because?

How could this ever qualify as a "better" explanation? Ok, perhaps if by "better", you mean an explanation that is inherently unexplained, but says things are what they are "just because", then sure. But can you at least see why many other people could never accept that explanation as being "better"?

So, to reiterate:
1) Existence of universe = Tough to explain, perhaps impossible.
2) Existence of God + universe = Tough to explain +1, perhaps impossible +1.


P.S. Linking to anything by William Lane Craig will almost automatically lose you all your credibility. And it's pretty much the same if you link to any ID'ers, such as Dembski, who have all been thoroughly debunked by "real" scientists. At least the explanations given by the "real" scientists appear to us here as being, well, better. Much, much better.

I hope that clears up some of the nature of this dispute, and why you're having a hard time convincing anyone here. (In case you were wondering about that.)
 
arg-fallbackName="TheFlyingBastard"/>
The whole "oh the earth is so perfect for us" always reminds me of this thing I read on Douglas Adams' wikiquote page, taken from a speech of his...

Imagine a puddle waking up one morning and thinking, 'This is an interesting world I find myself in, an interesting hole I find myself in, fits me rather neatly, doesn't it? In fact it fits me staggeringly well, must have been made to have me in it!' This is such a powerful idea that as the sun rises in the sky and the air heats up and as, gradually, the puddle gets smaller and smaller, it's still frantically hanging on to the notion that everything's going to be alright, because this world was meant to have him in it, was built to have him in it; so the moment he disappears catches him rather by surprise. I think this may be something we need to be on the watch out for.'

We have been shaped according to the planet we happen to be on. Not vice versa.
 
arg-fallbackName="nemesiss"/>
australopithecus said:
Japhia888 said:
How many universes then would you need to make it at all probable that one of them could be like our universe? String theorists posit a number of 10 to the power of 500. It might help to see that number written out. It is 1 with 500 zeroes after it.

Here goes: 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

Evidence? Can you point to the 1x10^500 other universes or provide support for the claim they're needed for the probability that our universe to be the way it it? Oh, and the forum you keep linking to? Not evidence.

this is the science article they are refering to.

http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/hep-th/pdf/0208/0208013v3.pdf
i skimmed through it a couple of times, but it doesn't seem to be talking about how fine tuned the universe is.
 
arg-fallbackName="Japhia888"/>
TheFlyingBastard said:
The whole "oh the earth is so perfect for us" always reminds me of this thing I read on Douglas Adams' wikiquote page, taken from a speech of his...

Imagine a puddle waking up one morning and thinking, 'This is an interesting world I find myself in, an interesting hole I find myself in, fits me rather neatly, doesn't it? In fact it fits me staggeringly well, must have been made to have me in it!' This is such a powerful idea that as the sun rises in the sky and the air heats up and as, gradually, the puddle gets smaller and smaller, it's still frantically hanging on to the notion that everything's going to be alright, because this world was meant to have him in it, was built to have him in it; so the moment he disappears catches him rather by surprise. I think this may be something we need to be on the watch out for.'

We have been shaped according to the planet we happen to be on. Not vice versa.

this is a frequently presented argument against the fine-tune argument.

http://elshamah.heavenforum.com/astronomy-cosmology-and-god-f15/puddle-thinking-t241.htm

given a chance, a puddle who thinks may eventually come to one realization: there is an underlying order to the chaos. A thinking puddle will then have reached the point that Einstein reached when he said "The most incomprehensible thing about the universe is that it is comprehensible at all." When chided about this view, Einstein replied "A priori, one should expect a chaotic world which cannot be grasped by the mind in any way".

A thinking puddle will realize with just a little common sense that a blind, pitiless, and indifferent universe should not be expected, a priori, to produce that which is not blind, not pitiless, and not indifferent. Instead what we see is more akin to Vladimir Arnold's cat reaching the end of it's transform and meowing back at it's creator. Mind, encoded in chaos, unfolding as mind, the only clues being a barely perceptible underlying order. We comprehend that which should not be comprehendable, and this speaks to purposeful order.

A thinking puddle might still see himself as an accidental product of blind pitiless indifference, but he may more easily say that the universe might be exactly what it looks like. As has been evident to many great thinkers (puddles and non-puddles alike) but perhaps put most succinctly by Freeman Dyson, "The universe in some sense must have known we were coming".

Of course, the thinking puddle could be wrong. Thinking puddles could be nothing more than accidents, the product of happenstance and sheer luck. But while our thinking puddle may be ignorant, and other puddles may see the universe differently, he's not as stupid and as blind as Doug Adams would like to portray him.

The german Der Spiegel brought today a interesting article about the variation of the constant of electro-magnetism :

http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/natur/0,1518,716155,00.html

Evidence for spatial variation of the fine structure constant

We previously reported observations of quasar spectra from the Keck telescope suggesting a smaller value of the fine structure constant, alpha, at high redshift. A new sample of 153 measurements from the ESO Very Large Telescope (VLT), probing a different direction in the universe, also depends on redshift, but in the opposite sense, that is, alpha appears on average to be larger in the past. The combined dataset is well represented by a spatial dipole, significant at the 4.1 sigma level, in the direction right ascension 17.3 +/- 0.6 hours, declination -61 +/- 9 degrees. A detailed analysis for systematics, using observations duplicated at both telescopes, reveals none which are likely to emulate this result.

So thats one more proof, the constants do not have a physical need , to have the exact values, they have. They can vary. That arises the question : Why are the constants in the exact life-permitting range, and not in a different one, faced the odds this to be happening by chance.
 
arg-fallbackName="Anachronous Rex"/>
I think Douglas Adams can finish this for us right now:
"I refuse to prove that I exist", says God, "for proof denies faith, and without faith I am nothing."

"But", says Man, "the [fine tuning of the universe] is a dead giveaway isn't it? it could not have evolved by chance. it proves you exist, and so therefore, by your own arguments, you don't. QED."

"Oh dear", says God, "I hadn't thought of that," and promptly vanishes in a puff of logic.

Alright, poor taste I know... but do your faith the service of calling it faith. This, "there's a lot of evidence but it only makes sense if you already believe in this one specific interpretation of this one specific brand of this one specific religion - of which there are multitudes beyond measure," stuff does you no credit.

If it's so overtly obvious, then why hasn't every fair-minded hominid in the history of history converted to Christian Creationism? And don't tell me that these arguments are new, when most of them cite out-of-date scientific findings.
 
arg-fallbackName="TheFlyingBastard"/>
You do realize the puddle-story is about mankind's place in the biosphere, right?

Going cosmological doesn't negate the puddle-simile, as the puddle simile doesn't deal with that. This is because the puddle didn't exist when the earth wasn't there yet.

If you want to discuss cosmology, there's a whole different layer of stupid from people who use phrases like: "design in the circumstances of the Big Bang", which is in itself an incentive for me to stop taking them seriously.

EDIT: In fact, the Wiccan_Child guy on the page you linked to does a fine job of refuting the arguments.
 
arg-fallbackName="nemesiss"/>
Japhia888 said:
The german Der Spiegel brought today a interesting article about the variation of the constant of electro-magnetism :

http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/natur/0,1518,716155,00.html

Evidence for spatial variation of the fine structure constant

We previously reported observations of quasar spectra from the Keck telescope suggesting a smaller value of the fine structure constant, alpha, at high redshift. A new sample of 153 measurements from the ESO Very Large Telescope (VLT), probing a different direction in the universe, also depends on redshift, but in the opposite sense, that is, alpha appears on average to be larger in the past. The combined dataset is well represented by a spatial dipole, significant at the 4.1 sigma level, in the direction right ascension 17.3 +/- 0.6 hours, declination -61 +/- 9 degrees. A detailed analysis for systematics, using observations duplicated at both telescopes, reveals none which are likely to emulate this result.

So thats one more proof, the constants do not have a physical need , to have the exact values, they have. They can vary. That arises the question : Why are the constants in the exact life-permitting range, and not in a different one, faced the odds this to be happening by chance.

i read the same article in another news paper.
it actually refutes one of the other arguments made, which implies that the electromagnetism had to be constant, not variable.

as for you question, i don't think it's a why... but a what question; "what are the (different) ranges within our universe that permit life?" granted, we currently know only one... but how far can it stretch when our so-called constants vary?
note: when were talking about life, we aren't talking about life precisely like ours, any configuration is allowed such that stories like pandorra, final fantasy, lord of the rings, etc are not just fantasy.. but another possibility.
 
arg-fallbackName="Unwardil"/>
Again, the question is posed backwards.

If you answer it Jeopardy style, it looks more like this.

The physical constants which allow for the existence of life in the galaxy.

Answer; What is, whatever constants.

The point being, that life is the result of the constants being as they are. Not the other way around.
 
arg-fallbackName="Nautyskin"/>
Unwardil said:
The point being, that life is the result of the constants being as they are. Not the other way around.
"But this hole in the ground fits me perfectly!" said the puddle.
 
arg-fallbackName="Sparky"/>
Nautyskin said:
Unwardil said:
The point being, that life is the result of the constants being as they are. Not the other way around.
"But this hole in the ground fits me perfectly!" said the puddle.

Brilliant analogy! :D I'll have to remember that one for future reference!
 
arg-fallbackName="Nautyskin"/>
TheFlyingBastard said:
Nautyskin said:
"But this hole in the ground fits me perfectly!" said the puddle.
Which returns us to a few posts ago.
Great minds, eh?

Maybe it was worth a second go, though. He certainly came nowhere near getting it the first time around.
 
arg-fallbackName="Story"/>
I'm getting into this a little late, but Japhia888, no offense, but your arguments are sickeningly weak.

Are you arguing that the entire universe and it's 70 Sextillion (10^21) stars appear to be built to support a small vestige of organised matter that exist on a pale blue speck in the near endlessness of space and time?

How could you come to such a conclusion?

Have you ever considered what things could be made better?

Why are we living on a flying rock in the middle of a solar system that leaves us really vulnerable to other flying rocks like meteors? You can be assured that if there is other planets with life out there, some of them, right now, are being wiped out by supernovas, black holes, red giant evolutions or any of the other likely scenarios that flying rocks go through in space. Even if the millions of different threats to our existence that lurk outside of the earth aren't a problem, what about the tons of inhospitable places that exist on our very earth? Most of the earth's crust is covered in water, which is inhospitable to human settlement. Then we have this small layer of air inside the earth, which millions of years of evolution gave us the ability to live in. This small layer of air is subject to tons of different weather conditions that human beings in various parts of the world have to escape from every year and while we do that we have to focus on getting enough food and water to survive whilst trying to escape from other creatures that are trying to do the same thing.

And you look at all that and think that this is clear evidence of fine-tuning, because a bunch of fatty acid vesicles were able to keep their form for extended periods of time?

Lastly, why do you value "life" as being so important to the universe? The most important things in the universe, to me, are the stars. Life is just a completely useless progression of abilities, which is amazing, but hasn't been very useful for the past few billion years.

In another universe with other rules, something more amazing than life is possible, it gives birth to conscious gods of that universe, but ours is too limited.

Your argument fails because it gives far too much value to a very insignificant process,
 
arg-fallbackName="Yfelsung"/>
More probability errors.

Does no theist understand probability?

Everything that happens every day is statistically unlikely. The exact number of times you brushed your teeth, the angle you did it at, the time, the time it took you. There are an infinite number of possible combination that could have happened yet you brushed your teeth exactly as you did.

Statistically improbable does not equal impossible or even unlikely. Some statistically improbable thing has to happen every second of every day, else nothing would happen.

Not to mention that the existence of a being outside of our reality who goes against the entirety of our understanding of physics and the basic rule that less complex entities slowly become more complex entities (not that an infinitely complex entity existed first) is EVERY MORE STATISTICALLY IMPROBABLE THAN ANY OTHER POSSIBILITY.

You people act like God is a good bet when it's the worst bet. A man traveling back in time and starting the big bang himself is more statistically probable than the existence of God. I can't think of an option less statistically probable than God.
 
arg-fallbackName="borrofburi"/>
Yfelsung said:
Does no theist understand probability?

Everything that happens every day is statistically unlikely. The exact number of times you brushed your teeth, the angle you did it at, the time, the time it took you. There are an infinite number of possible combination that could have happened yet you brushed your teeth exactly as you did.

Statistically improbable does not equal impossible or even unlikely.
Thus highlighting the problems of attempting post-hoc statistical reasoning.
 
arg-fallbackName="TheFlyingBastard"/>
Story said:
Why are we living on a flying rock in the middle of a solar system that leaves us really vulnerable to other flying rocks like meteors? You can be assured that if there is other planets with life out there, some of them are being wiped out by meteors, black holes, red giant evolutions or any of the other likely scenarios that a flying rocks go through in space. Even if the millions of threats to our existence that lurk outside of the earth aren't a problem, what about the tons of inhospitable places that exist on our very earth? Most of the earth's crust is covered in water, which is inhospitable to human settlement. Then we have this small layer of air inside the earth, which millions of years of evolution gave us the ability to live in. This small layer of air is subject to tons of different weather conditions that human beings in various parts of the world have to escape from every year and while we do that we have to focus on getting enough food and water to survive whilst trying to escape from other creatures that are trying to do the same thing.

And you look at all that and think that this is clear evidence of fine-tuning, because a bunch of fatty acid vesicles were able to keep their form for extended periods of time?

I love this quote. A great rant against our solar system and then that cherry on the cake.

Yfelsung said:
Everything that happens every day is statistically unlikely. The exact number of times you brushed your teeth, the angle you did it at, the time, the time it took you. There are an infinite number of possible combination that could have happened yet you brushed your teeth exactly as you did.

Statistically improbable does not equal impossible or even unlikely. Some statistically improbable thing has to happen every second of every day, else nothing would happen.

I like to phrase it like this:
The chance of this specific sperm (of all those produced by your father) fertilizing this specific egg (of all those produced by your mother) that combined to eventually become you, is smaller than a Boeing 747 being randomly assembled by a tornado ravaging through a junkyard.
 
arg-fallbackName="Jotto999"/>
By the way Japhia888, in case it hasn't been mentioned or you haven't heard, Hawking recently changed his mind about God's role in the origin of the universe.
http://www.newsdaily.com/stories/tre6811fn-us-britain-hawking/
 
arg-fallbackName="AndromedasWake"/>
Japhia888 said:
The german Der Spiegel brought today a interesting article about the variation of the constant of electro-magnetism :

http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/natur/0,1518,716155,00.html

Evidence for spatial variation of the fine structure constant

We previously reported observations of quasar spectra from the Keck telescope suggesting a smaller value of the fine structure constant, alpha, at high redshift. A new sample of 153 measurements from the ESO Very Large Telescope (VLT), probing a different direction in the universe, also depends on redshift, but in the opposite sense, that is, alpha appears on average to be larger in the past. The combined dataset is well represented by a spatial dipole, significant at the 4.1 sigma level, in the direction right ascension 17.3 +/- 0.6 hours, declination -61 +/- 9 degrees. A detailed analysis for systematics, using observations duplicated at both telescopes, reveals none which are likely to emulate this result.

So thats one more proof, the constants do not have a physical need , to have the exact values, they have. They can vary. That arises the question : Why are the constants in the exact life-permitting range, and not in a different one, faced the odds this to be happening by chance.
I'm led to believe that you have no real understanding of this, as the paper presented does not provide evidence for or against the physical necessity of the fine-structure constant or its variation. Firstly, the fine-structure constant has been suspected to be variant for a long time, and this paper (awaiting peer review) presents evidence that its value varied a tiny (not life-threatening) amount from one region of the Universe to another about 10 billion years ago. It is statistically very unlikely that such a result would occur by chance (4.1 sigma) and if there was a real spatial gradient in the value, that would have profound implications for the Equivalence Principle and Cosmological Principle.

It also provides motivation for String Theorists who have been able to predict temporal and spatial variations in physical "constants" by invoking higher dimensions. Heck, this paper may be a critical step in confirming the existence of higher dimensions, which is tremendously exciting for physicists. Then there are the apologists, clinging to their fine-tuning argument, desperate to pounce on this sort of thing and hack it into something useful. What they and their friends fail to realise is that 20+ finely tuned parameters of the standard model represent 20+ limits on the model's explanatory power. Yet we already know that the standard model is limited, and more comprehensive models can eliminate much of the fine-tuning, if not all of it.

Even if fine-tuning is real, it is likely to be demonstrated as such in the context of some M-theory or chaotic inflation model, in which the number of real Universes is so large that ones which look like ours must exist, and by the anthropic principle we must find ourselves in one.

Either the Universe is open to chance or it isn't. In the former case, we may never know or we may discover a Multiverse. In the latter case, we will eventually develop a model so comprehensive and accurate as to eliminate fine-tuning problems. This is the goal of physics. To cling onto the fine-tuning argument, the apologist must make broad assumptions about the Cosmos; there is only one Universe, and our finely tuned parameters must be actual finely tuned facets of nature.

Even with the assumptions in place, the apologist proceeds only to undermine the concept of God by suggesting he/she/it was constrained by the demands of nature to finely tune the Universe for life, when a God by definition could create life in any Universe. If the Universe really is fine-tuned for life, then it seems logical that a powerful, but ultimately finite intelligence (such as an advanced alien scientist) is the tuner, and had to comply with nature's demands for us to be here.
 
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