SpecialFrog
New Member
So I saw Carrier talk a few days ago. It was pretty good.
Interestingly, he spent very little time on the evidence for Jesus (partially because there is little ) and most of his time talking about the prior probability, in Bayesian terms.
He talked about the mystery cults that were spreading throughout the Mediterranean world and their commonalities. They all were offshoots of existing religions and they all involved a celestial being who went through an ordeal (in some cases dying and rising) after which they had mastered death and who could therefore intercede on your behalf. All of these other mystery cult figures are considered mythological, though all have stories of them on earth that were seen as allegorical by initiates.
Jesus ticks all of the same boxes as the mystery cult figures and early Christianity has all the characteristics you would expect for a Jewish version of the mystery cult. So based on no other information it is more probable that he was also mythological since everyone else in that category was.
Of course, strong evidence can compensate for a low prior probability. But that's not what we have in this case.
He also mentioned there was a video of a debate with Trent Horn. Not exactly Bart Ehrman but the video is here (I have not watched yet):
Interestingly, he spent very little time on the evidence for Jesus (partially because there is little ) and most of his time talking about the prior probability, in Bayesian terms.
He talked about the mystery cults that were spreading throughout the Mediterranean world and their commonalities. They all were offshoots of existing religions and they all involved a celestial being who went through an ordeal (in some cases dying and rising) after which they had mastered death and who could therefore intercede on your behalf. All of these other mystery cult figures are considered mythological, though all have stories of them on earth that were seen as allegorical by initiates.
Jesus ticks all of the same boxes as the mystery cult figures and early Christianity has all the characteristics you would expect for a Jewish version of the mystery cult. So based on no other information it is more probable that he was also mythological since everyone else in that category was.
Of course, strong evidence can compensate for a low prior probability. But that's not what we have in this case.
He also mentioned there was a video of a debate with Trent Horn. Not exactly Bart Ehrman but the video is here (I have not watched yet):